Partick Thistle 2-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

Partick Thistle
2-0 HT 1-0
Stranraer
📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Partick Thistle vs Stranraer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
26%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.0
2-3 Goals
33%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
17%
5.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.8pp
26%
Draw
16%
+10.0pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Partick Thistle v Stranraer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.26/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.32
-16% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
486 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Partick Thistle vs Stranraer Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stranraer
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
04.09.2021 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCK
19.01.2019 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 4-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKK
14.08.2018 Stranraer Stranraer 0-5 HT 0-3 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCK
29.07.2017 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
06.05.2006 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-2 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
28.04.2001 Stranraer Stranraer 3-4 HT 3-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İK1
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle saw off Stranraer 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Stranraer?

Partick Thistle 2-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 58%, draw 26%, Stranraer 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Over 2.5
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