Stranraer 2-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Aug 2025

Stranraer
2-1 HT 0-0
Alloa Athletic
📅12/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Stranraer vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 25% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stranraer v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.17/4.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.95
-23% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stranraer vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
07.04.2018 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
24.02.2018 Stranraer Stranraer 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.12.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
14.10.2017 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
29.04.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
07.01.2017 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer squeezed past Alloa Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stranraer and 0.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Alloa Athletic?

Stranraer 2-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 29%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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