Dorchester Town 1-3 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
19%
-3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
2.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.88
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tiverton Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 5-0 HT 2-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
05.10.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 0-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNFAT
13.08.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
16.04.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
01.04.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town beat Dorchester Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Dorchester Town carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorchester Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dorchester Town and 0.83 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Tiverton Town?

Dorchester Town 1-3 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 61%, draw 23%, Tiverton Town 16%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorchester Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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