Harborough Town 1-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
39%
+8.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.69
+33% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Spalding United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.03.2025 Spalding United Spalding United 0-2 HT 0-0 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
10.09.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town and Spalding United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Harborough Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Harborough Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Harborough Town and 0.00 for Spalding United.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Spalding United?

Harborough Town 1-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 47%, draw 27%, Spalding United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harborough Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
12 Aug 2025
21:30 Evesham United vs Basingstoke Town Analysis →
21:30 Wimborne Town vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
21:45 Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
21:45 Leek Town vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
21:45 Kettering Town vs Leiston Analysis →
21:45 Quorn vs Stourbridge Analysis →