Harborough Town 2-0 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+2.4pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 29%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.51
-100% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harborough Town
2-0
AWAY Spalding United
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town beat Spalding United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harborough Town had 50% of the ball to Spalding United's 50%, shots finished 17-14.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Spalding United?

Harborough Town 2-0 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 53%, draw 19%, Spalding United 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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