Yaracuyanos 1-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 58%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.43/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.46
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
14.7 Crosses 24.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yaracuyanos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.42 xG 2.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
221 Passes 211
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yaracuyanos
1-1
AWAY Monagas
1.72 xG 0.86
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
210 Passes 148
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yaracuyanos vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yaracuyanos and Monagas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Yaracuyanos had 59% of the ball to Monagas's 41%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Yaracuyanos vs Monagas?

Yaracuyanos 1-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yaracuyanos vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yaracuyanos 27%, draw 26%, Monagas 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monagas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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