Manchester United vs Leeds United Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Friendlies, 12 Aug 2026

Manchester United
vs
Leeds United
📅12/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Friendlies – None

Manchester United vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Manchester United v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Manchester United vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Leeds United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
467 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2026 Manchester United Manchester United 1-2 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
04.01.2026 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
19.07.2025 Manchester United Manchester United 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
12.07.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
12.02.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 0-2 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
08.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
COMMENT Manchester United vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manchester United and 0.83 for Leeds United.

When do Manchester United and Leeds United play?

Manchester United play Leeds United in the Friendlies on 12/08/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Manchester United vs Leeds United?

Our model's prediction for Manchester United vs Leeds United is a Manchester United win at about 39% probability, priced 2.09 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Manchester United 39%, draw 22%, Leeds United 39%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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