Manchester United 0-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

Manchester United
0-0 HT 0-0
Leeds United
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Manchester United vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 28% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.75
X/2
13%
8.14
X/X
12%
5.62
2/1
7%
21.6
2/2
12%
5.72
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.51
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.4 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Manchester United vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Leeds United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.69 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
419 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.07.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
12.02.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 0-2 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
08.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
20.02.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 2-4 HT 0-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
14.08.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 5-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
25.04.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 0-0 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-0
AWAY Leeds United
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
447 Passes 473
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United and Leeds United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Manchester United had 50% of the ball to Leeds United's 50%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manchester United and 0.83 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Leeds United?

Manchester United 0-0 Leeds United in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 40%, draw 29%, Leeds United 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Under 2.5
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