Moreirense 3-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-12.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense edged past Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Moreirense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Moreirense 3-2 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 37%, draw 32%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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