Ingolstadt 1-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
37%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.21
Over 2.5
43%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.5pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.9pp
37%
Away Win
55%
-17.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
285 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-1
AWAY Torino
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Torino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 68% of the ball to Torino's 32%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Torino?

Ingolstadt 1-1 Torino in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 31%, draw 32%, Torino 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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