Guingamp 2-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

Guingamp
2-1 HT 1-1
Nantes
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Guingamp vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.84
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
10%
7.74
X/2
10%
4.76
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.74
2/X
10%
13.0
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.84 — our 21% vs market 13.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.54/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.62
-57% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Guingamp vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nantes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.61 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
04.11.2018 Nantes Nantes 5-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
27.01.2018 Guingamp Guingamp 0-3 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
21.10.2017 Nantes Nantes 2-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
14.05.2017 Nantes Nantes 4-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
03.12.2016 Guingamp Guingamp 2-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1

Guingamp 2-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-1
AWAY Nantes
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp nicked a narrow win over Nantes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Guingamp made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 53% of the ball to Nantes's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guingamp and 2.33 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Nantes?

Guingamp 2-1 Nantes in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 38%, draw 25%, Nantes 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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