Swansea City 2-2 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 34% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
36%
-9.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stevenage
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.07 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
311 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.01.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 0-2 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City FAK
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City and Stevenage shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Stevenage?

Swansea City 2-2 Stevenage in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 27%, draw 30%, Stevenage 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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