Harrogate Town 2-0 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
33%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
6+ Goals
14%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.51
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
8%
8.83
X/2
16%
4.06
X/X
11%
5.53
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.25
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.93
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -43%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.5 Crosses 17.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.80 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 300
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
05.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
15.04.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
07.03.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
2-0
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.56 xG 0.98
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
142 Passes 414
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town saw off Doncaster Rovers 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 31% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 69%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.56 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Doncaster Rovers.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Harrogate Town and 0.75 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Harrogate Town 2-0 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 24%, draw 26%, Doncaster Rovers 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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