Bayern München U19 2-1 Ingolstadt U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
35%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.98
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.41
No
35%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
20%
+14.9pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
67%
-1.3pp
35%
BTTS No
33%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt U19 EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
422 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München U19
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 2.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
405 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 0-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt U19 Ingolstadt U19 ALU19
03.11.2023 Ingolstadt U19 Ingolstadt U19 3-1 HT 1-1 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München U19
2-1
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München U19 squeezed past Ingolstadt U19 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München U19 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München U19 had 56% of the ball to Ingolstadt U19's 44%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt U19 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bayern München U19 and 2.00 for Ingolstadt U19.

What was the final score of Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Bayern München U19 2-1 Ingolstadt U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bayern München U19 46%, draw 19%, Ingolstadt U19 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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