Bayern München U19 0-1 Ingolstadt U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

Bayern München U19
0-1 HT 0-1
Ingolstadt U19
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-3 ✗
Germany - U19 Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.63
Over 2.5
67%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
34%
-1.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
66%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München U19 v Ingolstadt U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.95/3.00
-4% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Ingolstadt U19 Ingolstadt U19 3-1 HT 1-1 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 ALU19

Bayern München U19 0-1 Ingolstadt U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München U19
0-1
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
0.93 xG 2.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
405 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt U19 squeezed past Bayern München U19 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ingolstadt U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern München U19 had 60% of the ball to Ingolstadt U19's 40%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.93 to 2.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ingolstadt U19's control.

What was the final score of Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Bayern München U19 0-1 Ingolstadt U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bayern München U19 39%, draw 21%, Ingolstadt U19 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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