Arminia Bielefeld U19 1-3 Paderborn U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld U19 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Paderborn U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn U19 got the better of Arminia Bielefeld U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paderborn U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Paderborn U19?

Arminia Bielefeld U19 1-3 Paderborn U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Paderborn U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld U19 28%, draw 28%, Paderborn U19 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALU19 More Germany - U19 Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024
11:30 Heidenheim U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 Analysis →
12:00 Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Osnabrück U19 Analysis →
12:00 Bayern München U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 Analysis →
12:00 Bochum U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 Analysis →
12:00 Wuppertaler SV U19 vs Leverkusen U19 Analysis →
15:00 Union Berlin U19 vs Hamburger SV U19 Analysis →