Heidenheim U19 4-0 Mainz 05 U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim U19
4-0
AWAY Mainz 05 U19
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heidenheim U19 vs Mainz 05 U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim U19 cruised past Mainz 05 U19 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 U19 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Heidenheim U19 had 34% of the ball to Mainz 05 U19's 66%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Heidenheim U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

Heidenheim U19 4-0 Mainz 05 U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim U19 32%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 U19 44%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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