America de Cali 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Sep 2024

America de Cali
1-0 HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
📅12/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

America de Cali v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.05
+17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.7 Crosses 12.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
282 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.02.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
17.07.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.01.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
22.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
28.03.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.12.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL

America de Cali 1-0 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.60 xG 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 433
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Deportes Tolima 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 41% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 59%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.60 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

America de Cali 1-0 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 40%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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