Deportes Tolima 2-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.11
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
15.8 Crosses 12.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
4W-1D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.23 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 278
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.01.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
22.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
28.03.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.12.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
03.12.2021 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
2-1
AWAY America de Cali
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima edged past America de Cali 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 48% of the ball to America de Cali's 52%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.33 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?

Deportes Tolima 2-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 42%, draw 28%, America de Cali 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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