Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
1.38/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.41
+21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
16.4 Crosses 11.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
01.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
02.10.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
12.04.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
17.09.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOLK
10.09.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.41 xG 0.40
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 3
447 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 5
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto edged past Deportivo Pereira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pereira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 66% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 34%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.41 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pasto 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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