Roskilde 4-1 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.33/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.48
+4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Akademisk BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 3-3 HT 1-2 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
19.04.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 1-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
04.11.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
08.09.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 2-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
13.11.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 3-2 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
06.08.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 3-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
4-1
AWAY Akademisk BK
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde cruised past Akademisk BK 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roskilde as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Roskilde had 46% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 54%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roskilde had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roskilde and 1.33 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Akademisk BK?

Roskilde 4-1 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 42%, draw 24%, Akademisk BK 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roskilde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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