Roskilde 1-1 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

Roskilde
1-1 HT 0-0
Akademisk BK
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Roskilde vs Akademisk BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 30% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roskilde v Akademisk BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.08/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.72
+0% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
504 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Roskilde vs Akademisk BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Akademisk BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
08.09.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 2-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
13.11.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 3-2 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
06.08.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 3-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
24.05.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 3-2 HT 3-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
03.12.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 1-1 HT 0-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2

Roskilde 1-1 Akademisk BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
1-1
AWAY Akademisk BK
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde and Akademisk BK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Roskilde had 65% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 35%, shots finished 22-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roskilde and 1.33 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Akademisk BK?

Roskilde 1-1 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 47%, draw 26%, Akademisk BK 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roskilde), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
19 Apr 2024
20:00 Fremad Amager vs FA 2000 Analysis →