Fremad Amager 2-1 FA 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FA 2000 EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.44/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.02
-4% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
1W-1D-0L
AWAY FA 2000
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN2
13.10.2023 FA 2000 FA 2000 0-3 HT 0-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
2-1
AWAY FA 2000
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs FA 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager squeezed past FA 2000 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 41% of the ball to FA 2000's 59%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fremad Amager and 0.00 for FA 2000.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs FA 2000?

Fremad Amager 2-1 FA 2000 in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs FA 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 43%, draw 30%, FA 2000 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
19 Apr 2024
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