Chateauroux 2-2 Stade Briochin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.6
Over
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.38
2-3
39%
1.7
4-5
20%
4.36
6+
9%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.84
X/2
7%
6.27
X/X
17%
3.88
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.89
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Briochin The Market 33%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.60
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Briochin
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2023 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 2-1 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
02.12.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-2 HT 1-1 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
11.02.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 2-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
03.09.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux and Stade Briochin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chateauroux at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stade Briochin led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chateauroux and 1.50 for Stade Briochin.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin?

Chateauroux 2-2 Stade Briochin in the France - National League 1 on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 43%, draw 28%, Stade Briochin 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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