Quevilly 1-2 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.56
Over
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.29
2-3
42%
1.7
4-5
17%
4.61
6+
6%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
12%
5.07
X/2
10%
5.6
X/X
17%
3.84
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
18%
4.31
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne The Market 37%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.18/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 7.00/2.00
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Aubagne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
23.10.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 1-1 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-2
AWAY Aubagne
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne squeezed past Quevilly 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Aubagne made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Quevilly had 46% of the ball to Aubagne's 54%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Quevilly had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quevilly and 0.50 for Aubagne.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Aubagne?

Quevilly 1-2 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 37%, draw 30%, Aubagne 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✗ Under 2.5
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