Quevilly 1-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.33
X/2
16%
7.6
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
10%
6.5
2/X
4%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.07/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.88
-30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aubagne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 1-1 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-0
AWAY Aubagne
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly edged past Aubagne 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Quevilly made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Quevilly had 47% of the ball to Aubagne's 53%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Aubagne?

Quevilly 1-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 40%, draw 30%, Aubagne 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quevilly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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