Aubagne 1-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.06
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
12%
5.48
X/2
13%
5.19
X/X
13%
4.02
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.76
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
1-1
AWAY Quevilly
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne and Quevilly shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Aubagne had 45% of the ball to Quevilly's 55%, shots finished 6-19.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Quevilly?

Aubagne 1-1 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 38%, draw 28%, Quevilly 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aubagne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5
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