Valenciennes 2-0 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
11%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.54
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
13%
6.01
X/2
11%
4.93
X/X
11%
3.99
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.42
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dijon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
13.01.2023 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
12.03.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
24.09.2021 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
05.01.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 1-1 Dijon Dijon FRK
02.02.2016 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
2-0
AWAY Dijon
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes got the better of Dijon 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Valenciennes had 44% of the ball to Dijon's 56%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valenciennes and 1.17 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Dijon?

Valenciennes 2-0 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 41%, draw 25%, Dijon 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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