Paris 13 Atletico 2-3 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.86
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
6.33
X/2
17%
4.73
X/X
8%
4.02
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.22
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.68/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.40
-42% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
16.09.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
2-3
AWAY Le Mans FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Paris 13 Atletico 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 54% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 2.50 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Le Mans FC?

Paris 13 Atletico 2-3 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 33%, draw 21%, Le Mans FC 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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