Kheybar Khorramabad 1-1 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.79
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.83
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.53/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.35
+40% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
15.11.2023 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
25.01.2023 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 HT 1-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad and Fajr Sepasi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kheybar Khorramabad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.50 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi?

Kheybar Khorramabad 1-1 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kheybar Khorramabad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 40%, draw 32%, Fajr Sepasi 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
12 Sep 2025
17:30 Tractor FC vs Aluminium Arak Analysis →
19:30 Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Analysis →
19:30 Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Sepahan Analysis →