Tractor FC 4-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.45/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.23
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
29.03.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
27.10.2024 Tractor FC Tractor FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
05.10.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-4 HT 0-1 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
13.02.2023 Tractor FC Tractor FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
05.09.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-2 HT 0-1 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
17.03.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tractor FC swept aside Aluminium Arak 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tractor FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tractor FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tractor FC and 0.17 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Aluminium Arak?

Tractor FC 4-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 58%, draw 25%, Aluminium Arak 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tractor FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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