Al Gharafa 2-0 Al Sailiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sailiya EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.21/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 78%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.6 Crosses 4.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Sailiya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
288 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2023 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
02.08.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KAT
10.03.2022 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
29.12.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KAT
08.12.2021 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya 3-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
08.11.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Sailiya Al Sailiya KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
2-0
AWAY Al Sailiya
1.26 xG 0.40
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
452 Passes 155
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa saw off Al Sailiya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 69% of the ball to Al Sailiya's 31%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.50 for Al Sailiya.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya?

Al Gharafa 2-0 Al Sailiya in the Qatar League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 63%, draw 18%, Al Sailiya 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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