Al Duhail SC 4-2 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.25
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
4.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.2pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.1pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.73
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.0 Crosses 11.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.73 xG 1.02
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
534 Passes 174
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
38 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
22.08.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
01.12.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
29.04.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
28.03.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
11.01.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
4-2
AWAY Umm Salal
3.35 xG 0.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
462 Passes 221
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
62 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC beat Umm Salal 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 64% of the ball to Umm Salal's 36%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 3.35 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Duhail SC and 0.67 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Umm Salal?

Al Duhail SC 4-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 68%, draw 17%, Umm Salal 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
12 Sep 2025
18:00 Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd Analysis →
20:00 Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya Analysis →