Al Duhail SC 1-0 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.87
2-3 Goals
34%
2.3
4-5 Goals
32%
2.4
6+ Goals
17%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
18%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.1pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.58
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.0 Crosses 10.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.93 xG 1.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
561 Passes 174
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
29.04.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
28.03.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
11.01.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
02.03.2022 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 6-1 HT 2-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
25.12.2021 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
1-0
AWAY Umm Salal
1.97 xG 0.23
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
550 Passes 192
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC nicked a narrow win over Umm Salal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 71% of the ball to Umm Salal's 29%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.97 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Duhail SC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.00 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Umm Salal?

Al Duhail SC 1-0 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 60%, draw 19%, Umm Salal 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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