Al Shamal 0-1 Qatar SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 27% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.9pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +24%
1.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.50
+25% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
356 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
16.0 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Qatar SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
329 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 1-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
24.11.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
02.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-0 HT 1-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
29.08.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
12.01.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
21.09.2021 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 2-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
0-1
AWAY Qatar SC
0.97 xG 1.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
431 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Qatar SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC edged past Al Shamal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Qatar SC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Shamal had 58% of the ball to Qatar SC's 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.97 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shamal and 0.83 for Qatar SC.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Qatar SC?

Al Shamal 0-1 Qatar SC in the Qatar League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Qatar SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 40%, draw 26%, Qatar SC 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Shamal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✓ BTTS No
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