Umm Salal 1-2 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
52%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.32
2-3 Goals
39%
2.1
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
52%
Away Win
68%
-15.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 72%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.64/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.15
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
12.2 Crosses 23.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 2.69
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 12
177 Passes 559
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
01.12.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
29.04.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
28.03.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
11.01.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
02.03.2022 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 6-1 HT 2-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
1-2
AWAY Al Duhail SC
0.89 xG 2.88
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
194 Passes 507
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC edged past Umm Salal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Umm Salal had 32% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 68%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.89 to 2.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Duhail SC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Umm Salal and 2.17 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Duhail SC?

Umm Salal 1-2 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 25%, draw 23%, Al Duhail SC 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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