BFA 1-0 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

BFA
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Zalgiris II
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.23
Over
60%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME BFA The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II The Market 23%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
0.52 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Strong Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris II
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 4-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
07.08.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-6 HT 1-2 BFA BFA LIT1
18.03.2023 BFA BFA 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
12.11.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-1 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
06.07.2022 BFA BFA 4-2 HT 2-2 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
1 - 0
AWAY Zalgiris II
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW BFA vs Zalgiris II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

BFA squeezed past Zalgiris II 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in BFA's favour, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.40 a game for BFA against 1.60 for Zalgiris II.

BFA vs Zalgiris II Result & Final Score

BFA 1 - 0 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

BFA vs Zalgiris II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split BFA 62%, draw 21%, Zalgiris II 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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