UTC Cajamarca 0-1 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.36/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.56
-3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.3 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
223 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
19.08.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
01.04.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 3-2 HT 1-2 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
25.09.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
30.04.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-3 HT 1-2 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
09.10.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0-1
AWAY Ayacucho FC
0.81 xG 0.30
72% Ball Possession 28%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
355 Passes 64
80% Pass Accuracy 44%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayacucho FC squeezed past UTC Cajamarca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UTC Cajamarca at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 72% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 28%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.81 to 0.30 — on chances, UTC Cajamarca could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayacucho FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.67 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC?

UTC Cajamarca 0-1 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 51%, draw 24%, Ayacucho FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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