Nacional vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Plaza Colonia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Nacional 1-2 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics
Plaza Colonia edged past Nacional 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Nacional carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Nacional had 59% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 41%, shots finished 11-6.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Plaza Colonia?
Nacional 1-2 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Plaza Colonia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nacional 57%, draw 24%, Plaza Colonia 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.