Partick Thistle 1-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 12 Oct 2024

Partick Thistle
1-1 HT 0-0
Falkirk
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Partick Thistle vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.28
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.6
6+
10%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.12
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
16%
6.02
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1 ✗
8%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.45
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Partick Thistle v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.55/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.01
+25% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.9 Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards –

Partick Thistle vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
22.07.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
23.09.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCK
29.04.2021 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-0 HT 3-0 Falkirk Falkirk İSK1
26.12.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İK1
07.11.2020 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle and Falkirk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Partick Thistle at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.33 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Falkirk?

Partick Thistle 1-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 42%, draw 24%, Falkirk 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partick Thistle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ BTTS Yes
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