Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Shrewsbury
İN1
3-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN1
2-2
HT 1-2
Shrewsbury
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Shrewsbury
İN2
Crawley Town 3-5 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics
Shrewsbury beat Crawley Town 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 56% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 44%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.28 to 3.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crawley Town and 1.67 for Shrewsbury.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Crawley Town 3-5 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 41%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 34%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.