Peterborough United 3-3 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

Peterborough United
3-3 HT 1-3
Rotherham United
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.8
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.9
X/2
9%
5.44
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.38
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.27/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.10
+20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 65%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.2 Crosses 23.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Peterborough United vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
154 Passes 186
55% Pass Accuracy 58%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
25.01.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 2-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
29.12.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 4-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
30.03.2018 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
19.08.2017 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
22.03.2014 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
28.09.2013 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1

Peterborough United 3-3 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
3-3
AWAY Rotherham United
76% Ball Possession 24%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
578 Passes 133
91% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United and Rotherham United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 76% of the ball to Rotherham United's 24%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peterborough United and 1.33 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Rotherham United?

Peterborough United 3-3 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 38%, draw 26%, Rotherham United 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İN1 More England - 1st Division
12 Oct 2024
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