Como (K) 0-1 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.66/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.90
-22% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 79%
9.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
5.3 Crosses 19.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 2.37
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
161 Passes 358
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
0-1
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.04 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
207 Passes 343
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) edged past Como (K) 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Milano (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Como (K) had 42% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.04 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Como (K) 0-1 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 19%, draw 24%, Inter Milano (K) 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Milano (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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