Fas 5-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.51
Over
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.21
2-3
40%
1.97
4-5
25%
2.71
6+
12%
6.92
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.21 — our 23% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Fas win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.2pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.5pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.71/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.88
+40% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.1 Crosses 18.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
17.11.2020 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-2 HT 0-1 Fas Fas AFUK
13.11.2020 Fas Fas 4-1 HT 3-1 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
04.09.2011 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Fas Fas AFUK
05.09.2010 Fas Fas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
5-0
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
2.46 xG 0.52
75% Ball Possession 25%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
566 Passes 144
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fas vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas cruised past Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fas had 75% of the ball to Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti's 25%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.46 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fas and 0.25 for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Fas vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Fas 5-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fas 63%, draw 21%, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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