Gine vs Etiyopya Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gine v Etiyopya — Team-Based Signals
Gine vs Etiyopya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gine
AFUK
2-0
HT 1-0
Etiyopya
AFUK
1-0
HT 1-0
Etiyopya
AFUK
1-4
HT 1-2
Gine
AFUK
Gine 4-1 Etiyopya — Actual Match Statistics
Gine swept aside Etiyopya 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gine as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gine had 48% of the ball to Etiyopya's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 3.30 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gine had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gine and 0.75 for Etiyopya.
What was the final score of Gine vs Etiyopya?
Gine 4-1 Etiyopya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gine vs Etiyopya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gine win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gine 42%, draw 30%, Etiyopya 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gine) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.