Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-13.3pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.95
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
21.9 Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
293 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1-1
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) and Bayer Leverkusen (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 58% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 42%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 34%, draw 29%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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