Wolfsburg (K) 2-0 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 12 Oct 2024

Wolfsburg (K)
2-0 HT 1-0
Bayern München (K)
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.93/3.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.99
-31% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +57%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.39 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 0-4 HT 0-0 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB

Wolfsburg (K) 2-0 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
2-0
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.26 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
301 Passes 449
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) beat Bayern München (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Wolfsburg (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 42% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 2-0 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 31%, draw 29%, Bayern München (K) 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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