Wolfsburg (K) 0-4 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 23 Mar 2024

Wolfsburg (K)
0-4 HT 0-0
Bayern München (K)
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+106% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Wolfsburg (K) 0-4 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
0-4
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.39 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) swept aside Wolfsburg (K) 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 57% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.39 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 0-4 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 45%, draw 23%, Bayern München (K) 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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