Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No Pick
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.2pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
2.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.99
+82% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg nicked a narrow win over Wacker Burghausen 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Schwaben Augsburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Wacker Burghausen?

Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wacker Burghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 33%, draw 28%, Wacker Burghausen 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wacker Burghausen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wacker Burghausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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