12/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
Steinbach vs Villingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
20%
Draw
21%
25%
Away Win
18%
41%
Under 2.5
38%
59%
Over 2.5
62%
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
53%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Steinbach v Villingen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Steinbach
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Villingen
EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% /
-36%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
1.66/1.17
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.75/2.51
-24%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-34%
/
-26%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
5
398 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.3
POST-MATCH
Steinbach vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Steinbach beat Villingen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Steinbach as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Steinbach vs Villingen?
Steinbach 3-1 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Villingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 55%, draw 20%, Villingen 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steinbach), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Steinbach)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
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12 Oct 2024